I remember reading F. Lee Bailey’s memoir (before he got old), and one of the first things he had to tell a guy – who’d quickly WON on a trial just a short time before – that the 2nd trial was NOT likely to favor him.
He pointed out that, during the 2nd trial, he would be facing people who truly believed that “he got away with it the first time, but this time he won’t be as lucky”. So, that’s an issue.
Also, the Dems have lumped together multiple charges (a practice that many DA’s do as a regular course of action). The thing is, when multiple charges are brought, the pro-not guilty crowd puts all their effort into winning on the big charges. In order to “give those voting for conviction something”, the jury often finds those guys guilty on a lesser charge.
Trump’s gotta beat ALL of the charges – and, given the squishiness of the Sorta-GOP, that’s looking less likely every day.
So, just don’t be surprised at any outcome.